Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000088 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000107 0.000113
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000084 0.000090 0.000098 0.000106 0.000115 0.000126
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000080 0.000087 0.000096 0.000107 0.000120 0.000136
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000144
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000074 0.000083 0.000096 0.000111 0.000129 0.000155
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000073 0.000083 0.000097 0.000114 0.000137 0.000168
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081 0.000095 0.000114 0.000138 0.000175
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000092 0.000112 0.000138 0.000177
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111 0.000138 0.000181
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000107 0.000135 0.000180
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000060 0.000072 0.000087 0.000109 0.000140 0.000190
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000060 0.000072 0.000088 0.000112 0.000146 0.000203
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000058 0.000070 0.000087 0.000111 0.000148 0.000210
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000070 0.000088 0.000115 0.000155 0.000228
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000069 0.000087 0.000115 0.000158 0.000238
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000086 0.000115 0.000159 0.000246
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000054 0.000067 0.000087 0.000116 0.000165 0.000262
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000067 0.000088 0.000119 0.000173 0.000285
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066 0.000086 0.000118 0.000173 0.000292
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000084 0.000116 0.000171 0.000291
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000082 0.000114 0.000170 0.000294
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000110 0.000165 0.000287
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000080 0.000112 0.000170 0.000305